Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 90.673252 103.432912 118.350257 137.343591 161.281931 191.023675 231.734947
2024-10-20 73.438184 89.270872 109.754357 139.165220 182.127456 246.010985 356.260602
2024-10-27 62.862044 79.390514 102.159044 137.547626 194.966905 293.263572 502.099726
2024-11-03 58.014554 75.740306 101.557808 144.759685 222.546182 377.610718 804.184410
2024-11-10 56.530457 76.330021 106.884719 162.287742 274.869694 547.872360 1673.240331
2024-11-17 51.872539 71.377506 102.489308 161.660184 291.418695 651.919242 2764.104042
2024-11-24 48.067305 67.203911 98.601522 160.867826 307.274666 772.669490 5004.631759
2024-12-01 44.398028 62.805975 93.647976 156.788682 313.637711 872.505866 9160.996397
2024-12-08 41.653754 59.620170 90.366952 155.409255 326.719666 1022.228824 24218.211071
2024-12-15 39.594880 57.359251 88.433178 156.478306 347.533679 1253.291836 232471.785833
2024-12-22 37.091342 54.118067 84.294577 151.778902 349.017675 1387.593054 NaN
2024-12-29 36.310282 53.763464 85.548270 159.863004 397.073529 2010.537950 NaN
2025-01-05 33.738752 50.229281 80.567860 152.713638 391.155152 2206.433869 NaN
2025-01-12 32.314508 48.651063 79.344654 154.978538 424.535030 3121.339528 NaN
2025-01-19 30.663333 46.518765 76.741023 153.087842 440.496055 4057.847355 NaN
2025-01-26 30.047858 46.217280 77.857873 161.569536 512.192578 8238.638206 NaN
2025-02-02 30.312150 47.567735 82.667545 182.327999 680.632741 60659.569586 NaN
2025-02-09 29.057260 45.901297 80.610141 181.581290 720.530609 290443.728231 NaN
2025-02-16 27.903331 44.345140 78.629183 180.638854 760.560134 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 26.616446 42.443262 75.665907 175.793587 766.428758 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 25.615262 41.045183 73.747046 174.157556 799.993303 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 24.848267 40.064138 72.713247 175.425364 865.172609 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 23.779141 38.413788 69.936017 169.857895 857.150628 NaN NaN